Israel never expected the extent of the painful blow and its dangerous repercussions, which it received last October 7 at the hands of Hamas; The Zionist regime and its elites are still confused about the matter.
Likewise, the entire world was surprised by what was happening to the point that the explanations and intellectual reactions that the “ Al-Aqsa Flood” provoked were not limited to dealing with a military operation limited in time, place and goals. Rather, the problem went beyond that to contemplating a phenomenon that raises more than one question that is added to the literature of strategic and geopolitical sciences.
After this movement, when and how will liberation come?
Despite the depth of the event and its ongoing repercussions under multiple aspects and dimensions, internal and external, regional and international, military and political…no one expected that Hamas will expel the Israeli forces from Gaza and Palestine during the current battle : neither it nor the other resistance factions are planning or They are working for this purpose in the current circumstances.
However, a new geopolitical horizon and conditions are taking shape due to the dynamism resulting from the “ Al-Aqsa Flood .” Its outcome is almost impossible to predict. What is certain is that we are experiencing an unprecedented movement in the Palestinian issue, as it differs from what resulted from the October War, despite the fact that some focus on the similarities between the two war.
This includes their remembrance of Anwar Sadat’s statement that the war he led at that time was “mobilization, not liberation,” as he described it. It is known that the October War was carried out by regular Arab armies – mainly Egyptian and Syrian. Liberating Palestine was not its primary goal. It lasted less than twenty days. While the current war has been raging for nearly three months, the Palestinian revolutionaries are the ones who are relentlessly fighting and conducting battles against the Zionist occupation of their country .
Here they are standing bravely and effectively, despite the modest weapons and material means they have in the face of a terrible enemy equipped with the most deadly types of modern weapons, and preventing him from achieving the “goals of war” – as he calls them – that he set for himself.
Few people, including broad segments of supporters of the Palestinian cause, counted on the fact that the resistance factions would withstand the brutality and barbarity of the Israeli military arsenals as the world saw. Here lies the disagreement between true believers in their cause with others: The believer is capable of performing miracles!
Indeed, the courage and bravery of the Palestinian fighters have aroused – and continue to arouse – the astonishment of most observers, the admiration of people in general and the “respect” of the opponent, who has become dramatically concerned, causing frightening disputes and rifts within him. Meanwhile, signs of confusion and weakness are evident among its ranks, even at its highest levels .
The Israeli government’s decision issued two or three days ago , officially silencing the media’s mouths regarding coverage of the war, is nothing but the Zionist regime’s blatant acknowledgment of its impotence and failure .
What are the repercussions and consequences of this failure? Is it an indication of a dark horizon looming ahead ? Israel ? On the other hand, does it not indicate the increasing strength of the Palestinian resistance and that its factions are seriously knocking on the door of the road leading to liberation? maybe. Although it is too early to expect a deadline to resolve the questions.
Controlling territory is one thing, eliminating the enemy is another…
It is true that the Israeli army occupied Gaza and deployed its forces throughout its territory, and that it murdered the residents, starved them, displaced them and tortured them …
It is true that the Zionist military leadership tried to create a propaganda sensation that would serve its interests, as it presented the matter as a military victory and described it as “operational control of the Gaza Strip.” If the phrase (contrôle de zone) means – as stated in the French military dictionary – “preventing the enemy’s freedom of movement and use” of a specific field or area, then Israel was actually able to “control Gaza” as a whole. But is this enough to eliminate the enemy or make it safe from its operations? The answer, of course, is no .
They do not have the freedom to move around the area or use it as they please. This is a compulsion that it shares to some extent with its enemy: neither the resistance factions nor the Israeli forces are free to use the field, despite the great difference between the two opponents in favor of Israel , if we look at the military balance of power from the perspective of the traditional evaluation criteria known in the literature and rules of regular war.
However, there are differences between the two opponents which lie in ideological and technical aspects, which do not serve the occupation forces .
Faith is a great and inexhaustible source of strength…
As we mentioned, Hamas and its allies in the resistance truly believe in their just cause. This is an inexhaustible source of power, but it is steadily increasing depending on the pace and intensity of genocidal wars and the accompanying barbarism imposed on them by an unjust force occupying their lands. They confront it with a stubborn willpower that the enemy and his allies work in vain with all their might to break.
Contrary to what they want, the more the occupation forces kill, destroy and take the lives of Palestinians, women, children and the elderly… this increases the faith and strength of the victims and the oppressed. Which makes them exponentially stronger than their enemy on a moral level.
Their superior moral strength greatly hinders their opponent’s material superiority in the types and quantities of weapons and in the human size of the force.
In terms of combat methods, Hamas’s operations are based on camouflage and movement tactics, which are represented by lightning operations, ambushes, sniping and remote bombardment with rockets and mortar shells… With the extensive use of tunnel networks, it is becoming clearer day after day that it is impossible for the hostile party to paralyze the enemy. Its effectiveness also tries hard.
These methods may decrease or increase in frequency, but they will not and will not prevent the enemy from occupying the land, regardless of the strength or extent of his presence on the field. Oh God, if he succeeds in recruiting the Palestinian population to a degree that guarantees him their loyalty and support .
The huge deficit in human intelligence is an obstacle that cannot be overcome…
Recruitment of the Palestinian population, on a large scale or sufficient to fill the intelligence vacuum is a condition that will never be met for the Israeli security forces. It is fully aware of the dilemma as it is evident from the dazzling and surprising success of the “ Al-Aqsa Flood ” operation and its repercussions on the battlefields and at all levels, the weakness of Israeli human intelligence. Which indicates its inability to a large extent to penetrate resistance organizations and factions.
I personally believe that this deficit is on top of the drawbacks and shortcomings in the security field that the American administration will work to provide support to Israel in order to remedy. There is no doubt that restoring the spirit to the path of the “normalization movement” may constitute a political climate more appropriate for an espionage project of this kind.
But it is difficult. How can the Israeli occupier and genocidal war criminal and his American protectors gain the loyalty of their Palestinian victims, who are stubborn to submit and surrender! The “normalization of relations” movement with Israel has been going through a difficult stage since the events of October 7.
We may remember that the recruitment of Palestinians by Israeli intelligence is an unattainable condition. I do not think it has been achieved satisfactorily before: neither under unipolarity when the United States – the protector of the Zionist system – was the undisputed dominant power, nor before that during the era of the Cold War and its media ambiguity.
How can they do it today in international circumstances characterized by the information revolution and multipolarity, with the diversity and disparity of geopolitical influence factors on the international scene, and the observed inaction in this context by the United States and the Western powers , in favor of China, Russia and other rising countries: Brazil , India , Iran and South Africa …etc. These rapid changes in international relations and balances do not favor Israel much, nor do they help it raise its head easily after the severe blow it received through the “Al-Aqsa Flood” and its puzzling consequences for it and its American protectors.
Retired Colonel El Boukhakhary Mohamed Mouemel Al Yaakoubi
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